Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.273992 1.520946 1.818638 2.208817 2.714115 3.356895 4.253882e+00
2024-12-22 0.885942 1.160888 1.536809 2.105888 2.978858 4.329229 6.715690e+00
2024-12-29 0.719016 1.007744 1.441249 2.176229 3.475799 5.876155 1.125316e+01
2025-01-05 0.602643 0.887223 1.345443 2.194118 3.880805 7.523240 1.779937e+01
2025-01-12 0.509385 0.777558 1.232540 2.134843 4.105671 8.971763 2.602873e+01
2025-01-19 0.443572 0.697973 1.149218 2.099219 4.359697 10.703788 3.862892e+01
2025-01-26 0.413537 0.672879 1.156346 2.246515 5.119597 14.602590 7.225209e+01
2025-02-02 0.383837 0.642439 1.145438 2.350081 5.835312 19.307529 1.369126e+02
2025-02-09 0.349634 0.597736 1.096128 2.346920 6.247443 23.499216 2.386695e+02
2025-02-16 0.316493 0.550142 1.031613 2.286272 6.449093 27.150146 3.964349e+02
2025-02-23 0.295657 0.523897 1.008402 2.328618 7.053094 34.373739 8.784763e+02
2025-03-02 0.280380 0.506704 1.002130 2.417139 7.915168 45.800940 2.716194e+03
2025-03-09 0.261683 0.480544 0.971845 2.431263 8.518093 57.809274 1.012658e+04
2025-03-16 0.239797 0.445128 0.913995 2.344893 8.618233 65.917159 3.731888e+04
2025-03-23 0.229065 0.432594 0.910283 2.433795 9.696314 91.998777 8.043323e+06
2025-03-30 0.216396 0.414225 0.888713 2.456532 10.466738 120.643131 NaN
2025-04-06 0.201337 0.388832 0.845026 2.388499 10.657653 141.703761 NaN
2025-04-13 0.188895 0.368196 0.811057 2.347460 11.011946 172.532157 NaN
2025-04-20 0.185184 0.367387 0.830570 2.517898 13.066424 295.073199 NaN
2025-04-27 0.179774 0.361924 0.836296 2.638014 14.981676 491.642739 NaN
2025-05-04 0.171017 0.347478 0.814097 2.634347 15.881946 688.406848 NaN
2025-05-11 0.161144 0.329415 0.778904 2.563988 16.103715 859.121173 NaN
2025-05-18 0.155277 0.320745 0.770510 2.613107 17.654526 1421.412399 NaN